排序方式： 共有45条查询结果，搜索用时 31 毫秒
11.
Oran R. White Giuliana De Toma Gary J. Rottman Thomas N. Woods Barry G. Knapp 《Solar physics》1998,177(1-2):89-103
The solar Mgii core-to-wing ratio is a useful index of UV variability throughout the solar cycle because it has been measured since 1978 in a series of successive satellite missions: Nimbus 7, Solar Mesosphere Explorer (SME), the NOAA 9–14 series, Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS), and ERS-2. Eventual construction of a single time series from 1978 to the present by combining these measurements will give a long record of almost daily UV variability to serve as a surrogate for estimating both UV and EUV solar radiation. Here we address the effect of spectral resolution on determination of both long-term and short-term solar variability from this index. We use UARS/SOLSTICE measurements of the Mgii line from October 1991 to December 1996 to study the effect of two spectral resolution regimes characteristic of existing measurements, 0.20 to 0.25 nm and 1.10 to 1.15 nm, on determination of the amplitude of 27-day rotational modulation and the more gradual change in chromospheric radiation in the declining phase of solar cycle 22. The two Mgii indices give solar variations that differ by a scaling factor of 2× for both the solar cycle change from 1992 to 1997 and the amplitude of 27-day modulation over the same period. Both types of measurements appear to yield solar signal equally well except at solar minimum when the solar changes become quite small. 相似文献
12.
Mausumi Dikpati Peter A. Gilman Giuliana de Toma Siddhartha S. Ghosh 《Solar physics》2007,245(1):1-17
We use the flux-transport dynamo prediction scheme introduced by Dikpati, de Toma, and Gilman (Geophys. Res. Lett.
33, L05102, 2006) to make separate simulations and predictions of sunspot cycle peaks for northern and southern hemispheres. Despite the division
of the data, the skill level achieved is only slightly lower than that achieved for the sum of both hemispheres. The model
shows skill at simulating and predicting the difference in peaks between North and South, provided that difference is more
than a few percent. The simulation and prediction skill is achieved without adjustment to any parameters of the model that
were used when peaks for the sum of North and South sunspot areas was simulated. The results are also very insensitive to
the averaging length applied to the input data, provided the simulations and predictions are for peaks defined by averaging
the observations over at least 13 rotations. However, in its present form, the model is not capable of skillfully simulating
or predicting short-time-scale features of individual solar cycles. 相似文献
13.
There has been much speculation about the extended minimum between Solar Cycles 23 and 24. Cycle 24 itself has been unusually weak compared with recent cycles. We present quantitative evidence for the weakness of both Cycles 23 and, particularly, 24. The data are objective indices derived from precision photometric images obtained on a daily basis at the San Fernando Observatory. These data form the longest running, homogeneous photometric record known to us. We show sunspot areas from red images and facular/network areas from Ca ii K-line images. Spot and facular area are a simple and direct measurement of the strength of solar activity. The data clearly show the decline in the amplitude of sunspot maxima for Cycles 23 and 24 compared with Cycle 22. The relative amplitudes of mean spot area for Cycles 22 through 24 are 1.0, 0.74, and 0.37, respectively. There is also an indication that the facular-to-spot area ratio has increased in Cycle 24. 相似文献
14.
Evolution of Coronal Holes and Implications for?High-Speed Solar Wind During the Minimum Between Cycles 23 and 24 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
G. de Toma 《Solar physics》2011,274(1-2):195-217
We analyze coronal holes present on the Sun during the extended minimum between Cycles 23 and 24, study their evolution, examine the consequences for the solar wind speed near the Earth, and compare it with the previous minimum in 1996. We identify coronal holes and determine their size and location using a combination of EUV observations from SOHO/EIT and STEREO/EUVI and magnetograms. We find that the long period of low solar activity from 2006 to 2009 was characterized by weak polar magnetic fields and polar coronal holes smaller than observed during the previous minimum. We also find that large, low-latitude coronal holes were present on the Sun until 2008 and remained important sources of recurrent high-speed solar wind streams. By the end of 2008, these low-latitude coronal holes started to close down, and finally disappeared in 2009, while smaller, mid-latitude coronal holes formed in the remnants of Cycle 24 active regions shifting the sources of the solar wind at the Earth to higher latitudes. 相似文献
15.
A typology of dairy farmer perceptions towards climate change 总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0
Dairy farming is an industry which could potentially mitigate a large amount of greenhouse gas emissions. However, perception
and acceptance towards climate change is a significant barrier to voluntary adoption of best practice techniques. A number
of countries have set targets for reducing emissions, of which Scotland has one of the most ambitious agendas. This paper
presents results from an extensive survey of 540 dairy farmers, conducted in 2009, with the aim of understanding attitudes,
values and intentions towards climate change. Only half of these farmers agreed that temperatures would rise in the future
and this could significantly hinder adoption of voluntary measures to meet emissions targets. To explore this further a typology
was developed on the responses to attitude and value statements, using principal components and cluster analysis methods.
Six distinct types were found to exist which had a range of outlooks towards the impact of climate change in the future. However,
five of the six types stated no intention to adopt practices which would reduce emissions. The typology approach supports
diversified engagement strategies and a more innovation-led or resource maximisation view towards farming was expressed by
several of these types. This may indicate that policy makers should focus on ‘win-win’ technologies as a means to effectively
engage with these. However, a number of types were disengaged from the process which was driven by uncertainties towards projections
for global warming and this needs to be addressed by both scientists and policy makers to ensure greater participation within
the farming community. 相似文献
16.
17.
Francesco Enrichetti Giorgio Bavestrello Federico Betti Martina Coppari Margherita Toma Roberto Pronzato Simonepietro Canese Marco Bertolino Gabriele Costa Maurizio Pansini Marzia Bo 《Marine Ecology》2020,41(6):e12620
Differently from the North Atlantic Ocean, only few examples of sponge grounds are known from the Mediterranean Sea, mainly thriving in the deep sea. In this study, a novel temperate mesophotic ecosystem dominated by massive keratose sponges is reported from the Ligurian deep continental shelf. An extensive Remotely Operated Vehicle (ROV) survey allowed to study the structure and large-scale distribution of this biocoenosis. The sponge grounds here described are highly fragmented, being formed by a large number of dense, discrete aggregations of Sarcotragus foetidus (up to 7.7 specimens/m2) and other sponges, including Spongia lamella and Axinella polypoides. They mainly occur on flat, patchy and highly silted hardgrounds between 40 and 70 m depth. These sponge-dominated ecosystems have an exceptionally wide spatial distribution, estimated to cover up to nearly 200 hectares, with the largest sponge grounds occurring along the westernmost part of the Ligurian coast, probably in relation to more suitable oceanographic conditions. The dominant sponge species reach considerable heights (up to 65 cm), greatly increasing the habitat three-dimensionality and acting as poles of attraction for a diverse sessile and vagile fauna. In addition, the high abundance of the keratose sponge grounds at mesophotic depths might represent a larval source for shallow-water populations that in the last decades have been stricken by several mass mortality events. 相似文献
18.
A companion paper (Part I: Toma and Webster 2008), argued that the characteristics of the mean Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) arise from instabilities associated with
the strong cross-equatorial pressure gradient (CEPG) that exists in the eastern Pacific Ocean as a result of the latitudinal
sea-surface temperature (SST) gradient. Furthermore, it was argued that instabilities of the mean ITCZ resulted in the in
situ development of easterly waves. Thus, in Part I, it was hypothesized that the mean and transient state of eastern Pacific
convection was due to local processes and less so to the advection of waves from the North Atlantic Ocean. To test this hypothesis
and, at the same time, consider others such as a possible role of the equatorial and subtropical orography in generating local
instabilities, a series of controlled numerical experiments are designed using the WRF regional model. The domain of the model
was configured to include the western Atlantic Ocean, the Isthmus of Panama and the eastern Pacific Ocean to 155°W. Lateral
boundaries were set at 40°N and 40°S, thus containing the mountains of Central America, the Andes and the Sierra Madre of
Mexico. In a series of experiments, analysis products were used as boundary conditions that were successively updated four
times per day, set as 10-day running average fields or as running mean monthly fields. Finally, the model was run with topography
essentially eliminated over the land areas. Although there are differences between the details of the resultant fields, the
location of mean convection and the form of the transients remain the same. It is concluded, in support of the theoretical
and diagnostic studies of Part I that orographic forcing or waves generated in the North Atlantic Ocean are not the major
causes of the mean and transient nature of disturbances in the eastern Pacific. 相似文献
19.
20.
Asian summer monsoon prediction in ECMWF System 4 and NCEP CFSv2 retrospective seasonal forecasts 总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2
The seasonal prediction skill of the Asian summer monsoon is assessed using retrospective predictions (1982–2009) from the ECMWF System 4 (SYS4) and NCEP CFS version 2 (CFSv2) seasonal prediction systems. In both SYS4 and CFSv2, a cold bias of sea-surface temperature (SST) is found over the equatorial Pacific, North Atlantic, Indian Oceans and over a broad region in the Southern Hemisphere relative to observations. In contrast, a warm bias is found over the northern part of North Pacific and North Atlantic. Excessive precipitation is found along the ITCZ, equatorial Atlantic, equatorial Indian Ocean and the maritime continent. The southwest monsoon flow and the Somali Jet are stronger in SYS4, while the south-easterly trade winds over the tropical Indian Ocean, the Somali Jet and the subtropical northwestern Pacific high are weaker in CFSv2 relative to the reanalysis. In both systems, the prediction of SST, precipitation and low-level zonal wind has greatest skill in the tropical belt, especially over the central and eastern Pacific where the influence of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is dominant. Both modeling systems capture the global monsoon and the large-scale monsoon wind variability well, while at the same time performing poorly in simulating monsoon precipitation. The Asian monsoon prediction skill increases with the ENSO amplitude, although the models simulate an overly strong impact of ENSO on the monsoon. Overall, the monsoon predictive skill is lower than the ENSO skill in both modeling systems but both systems show greater predictive skill compared to persistence. 相似文献